Currencies

Most Asian currencies remain afloat ahead of key US inflation print


EMERGING MARKETS-Most Asian currencies remain afloat ahead of key US inflation print

South Korean won snaps four-day losing streak

Malaysia core consumer price index ahead of forecast

Traders eye key US inflation data later this week

By Rajasik Mukherjee

June 25 (Reuters)Most emerging Asian currencies inched higher against the dollar on Tuesday, with the South Korean wonsnapping a four-day losing run, as investors eyed key U.S. economic data later in the week for clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

The U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was trading slightly higher at 105.520 during late Asian hours, ahead of key inflation print due later in the week.

Weak U.S. inflation data would likely reinforce market bets on a Fed rate cut as early as September — the odds of which are currently at about 65% — which could weigh on the dollar and, in turn, benefit riskier emerging Asian assets. MKTS/GLOB

“A plethora of economic and political factors could challenge USD (dollar) dominance. But categorically taming the USD will be hard,” Vishnu Varathan, chief economist for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho Bank, wrote in a note.

Meanwhile, the Japanese yen JPY= slipped to as low as 159.70 earlier in the day even as traders remained cautious of testing a key resistance level that had prompted currency intervention in April and May.

Elsewhere in Asia, the won KRW=KFTC gained as much as 0.4%, its first increase after four days, while the Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS dropped to a seven-month low of 7.2630.

Malaysia’s ringgit MYR= remained unchanged after data showed the country’s inflation for May came in slightly above the forecast.

“We do not expect the upside risks to inflation will likely warrant BNM (Bank Negara Malaysia) to move … (ad) expect BNM to hold its policy rate steady at 3.0% this year,” said Yun Liu, ASEAN economist at HSBC.

Other Asian currencies like the Indonesian rupiah IDR=, Thai baht THB=TH, Singapore dollar SGD= and Taiwanese dollar TWD=TP all were largely unchanged.

The Philippine peso PHP= also traded flat ahead of the central bank’s policy meeting on Thursday where rates are expected to remain unchanged for a sixth consecutive meeting, a Reuters poll showed.

Shares in Indonesia .JKSE lost as much as 0.7%, eyeing their worst day in over a week, while those in Taiwan .TWII rebounded to end the day 0.3% higher.

Stocks in Manila .PSI rose as much as 0.5%, while equities in Thailand .SETI ticked higher.

HIGHLIGHTS:

** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields rise to 7.113%

** Thai c.bank sees current interest rate ‘robust to many scenarios’

** Dollar flirts with key 160 yen level as intervention risk looms

** Japan to respond appropriately to excessive yen volatility, official says

Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0636 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

+0.08

-11.54

.N225

+0.95%

+17.06%

China

CNY=CFXS

-0.03

-2.26

.SSEC

-0.82

-1.21

India

INR=IN

0.00

-0.30

.NSEI

0.21

8.54

Indonesia

IDR=

+0.06

-6.01

.JKSE

-0.30

-5.56

Malaysia

MYR=

+0.09

-2.44

.KLSE

-0.12

9.14

Philippines

PHP=

+0.12

-5.67

.PSI

0.47

-2.30

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

+0.11

-7.17

.KS11

0.35

4.49

Singapore

SGD=

+0.05

-2.43

.STI

0.24

2.52

Taiwan

TWD=TP

-0.09

-5.21

.TWII

0.27

27.58

Thailand

THB=TH

0.00

-6.65

.SETI

0.38

-6.65

Reporting by Rajasik Mukherjee in Bengaluru; additional Reporting by Roshan Thomas in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D’Souza



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