India’s REIT and InvIT market to attract Rs 11.6 trillion new investments; AUM may double to Rs 20 trillion by 2030: Avendus Capital
The report examines how rising interest rates are increasing the relevance of infrastructure and real assets in investment portfolios, with REITs and InvITs emerging as inflation-protected, stable income-generating instruments.
The report identifies multiple structural drivers that could unlock significant new sources of capital for India’s REIT and InvIT market. According to the report’s estimates, the largest sources are domestic mutual funds and insurance firms, which are set to deploy Rs 4.6 trillion and Rs 3.2 trillion by 2030, respectively.
Domestic pension funds’ participation is another key lever, set to incrementally invest Rs 2.2 trillion by 2030. Cumulatively, domestic institutional investors have utilised only 7.5% of their existing regulatory limits for investing in REITs and InvITs, implying an Rs 7 trillion opportunity for incremental investment.
“India’s REIT and InvIT market is in the ninth year of its multi-decadal growth journey, with 32 listed trusts currently representing an AUM of Rs 10 trillion and a combined market capitalisation of Rs 5 trillion. At a time when investors globally are reassessing portfolio construction amid structurally higher interest rates, we believe that stable, income-generating structures such as REITs and InvITs are emerging as one of the most significant long-term opportunities in India’s capital markets,” said Gaurav Sood, Managing Director and Head, Equity Capital Markets, Avendus Capital.
On the supply side, the report unpacks key REIT and InvIT sectors, including roads, office, retail, transmission, renewables, telecom, and logistics infrastructure, that are expected to double their TAM by 2030 from Rs 10 tn in 2026. At 1.5% of GDP, India’s REIT and InviT market remains significantly underpenetrated compared to mature global counterparts such as the United States, Australia, Singapore and Japan, where business trusts account for 5% to 12% of GDP.“India is entering a pivotal phase in the evolution of its real assets capital-raising journey. The growing pipeline of monetisable infrastructure and real estate assets requires massive pools of long-duration capital. REITs and InvITs are uniquely positioned to financialise cash-generating core assets and recycle capital to develop the next generation of projects. With the real assets market deepening across sectors, we estimate an addition of Rs 10 trillion in AUM across the existing and emerging infra and real assets sectors over the next five years,” said Gaurav Arora, Managing Director and Head, Infrastructure & Real Assets Investment Banking, Avendus Capital.
The report also introduces a framework for evaluating REITs and InvITs, highlighting that as the asset class matures, investors must move beyond distribution yields to a more comprehensive metric, equity IRR, which generally trends at a 200-700 bps premium to 10-yr G-Sec across sectors from a long-term base case perspective.
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According to the report, long-term returns are influenced not only by current distributions but also by entry valuation, distribution growth, NAV evolution and terminal value, an often under-analysed factor that can materially impact return outcomes across asset classes.
The report highlights that new investment avenues are further set to broaden participation in India’s REIT and InvIT market. Passive ETF products could bring in over Rs 240 billion with just a 2% incremental allocation to the asset class, enabling access to a wider investor base, while potential global index inclusion could unlock more than Rs 1 trillion over the next five years.
FIIs, retail investors, HNIs and Family Offices are expected to invest an additional Rs 1.5 trillion by 2030. Together, these drivers point to a multi-year expansion in capital allocation to India’s REITs and InvITs market.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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