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Here’s how $10,000 invested in 2026 is performing in 5 key areas: Chart of the Day


Markets have been anything but straightforward this year. Stocks have been hitting new records. But the war in Iran, rising inflation, and conflicting narratives over the AI trade have complicated the picture for investors.

Say you had $10,000 to invest on Jan. 2, the first trading day of the year. Had you invested that sum in a variety of major assets, here’s where those bets would have left you at the end of the second quarter.

Here's how Yahoo Finance's hand-picked investment performed through the first half of 2026.
Here’s how Yahoo Finance’s hand-picked investment performed through the first half of 2026. · Yahoo Finance

It may not be the sexiest bet in the book, but the S&P 500 (^GSPC), despite a ream of geopolitical and economic turmoils, has performed better so far in 2026 than many on Wall Street expected, returning roughly 9% in the face of what could’ve been a series of challenges.

Investors largely have the AI trade to thank. The outperformance of chip and memory stocks, powered by insatiable demand for AI development and ever-increasing compute capacity, has pulled up the entire US equity regime. If tech were stripped out, the S&P 500 would be largely flat.

Case in point: The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (^SOX), which tracks a basket of chip-related securities, has returned 98.7% for investors, turning a $10,000 investment into $19,546.72.

The index’s biggest holdings have all done well for investors. Micron (MU), the leading memory stock in the market and the fourth largest component of the Philly Semis index on June 30, has soared by 304% since the start of the year, while chipmaker AMD (AMD) has returned more than 170%.

Micron has been one of the stock market's hottest performers this year, with a 300% gain since the start of 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Micron has been one of the stock market’s hottest performers this year, with a 300% gain since the start of 2026. (Reuters/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo · Reuters / REUTERS

Rounding out the top holdings, Broadcom (AVGO) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) have gained 9% and 59%, respectively, while top holding Nvidia (NVDA) — the world’s largest company by market cap — is up 7% on the year.

Where the so-called tech trade has faltered in 2026 has been those companies spending hundreds of billions of dollars to buy the components made by the firms in the Philly Semis index, the so-called Magnificent Seven.

Taking together Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA), along with double-counted Nvidia, an investment in the basket of longtime Big Tech heavyweights has lost investors roughly 3%, turning a $10,000 investment into just over $9,500.

The commodities market, like US equities, has been a bit of a mixed bag for investors, starting with bitcoin (BTC-USD). The leading cryptocurrency entered the year after losing roughly 7% through 2025, and that slide has only continued, with a year-to-date loss of more than 32%.

Bitcoin’s decline has been driven by an amalgam of factors.

Bets on higher interest rates for longer, as inflation has held above target, have boosted the offer of assets such as US Treasurys, and at the same time made speculative assets like bitcoin less attractive. Capital rotation out of bitcoin into other assets, alongside pressure on so-called bitcoin treasury companies like Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR), reduced demand.

That’s not to say “real gold” (versus “digital gold”) has performed for investors either. Gold (GC=F) came into the year on a hot streak, breaking the $4,000 per troy ounce mark for the first time ever and adding more than 60% to its value in 2025. But the safe-haven asset hasn’t kept up that rollicking performance in 2026, instead losing roughly 7.8% due to some of the same factors driving bitcoin’s decline.

The outlook for higher US rates has made non-yielding assets like gold unattractive, while a stronger US dollar has, at the same time, made the assets more expensive for investors. As the hotbed of early 2026 geopolitical shocks has calmed down, store-of-value demand has weakened.

That said, central banks are still largely on a gold-buying cycle, and many institutional portfolios hold gold as long-term store of value. But through the first half, at least, gold investments didn’t pan out.

As investors look ahead to the second half of 2026, one theme has become increasingly clear: This is the AI economy now, and bets tied to the technology’s development have spent the first half of the year outperforming.

But as they say on Wall Street: Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.

Jake Conley is a breaking news reporter covering US equities for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @byjakeconley or email him at jake.conley@yahooinc.com.

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