The past few months have seen a significant number of red flags that we have seen with market crashes in the past. Yet nobody knows for sure when the next stock market crash will be.
But I do see quite a few things in the current situation that concern me as an investor, from some dizzying valuations in the AI space to heavy government spending.
Here are some practical steps I am taking now to ready myself for the next crash, whenever it may end up coming.
Step 1: reviewing my portfolio
It can be easy to buy shares and then largely forget about them, especially if they do well.
In some ways, that fits my approach as a long-term investor.
After all, I believe that over time, quality will out. So even if a share I own falls sharply during a market crash, if I continue to believe in the investment case, I could ignore the crash and simply hang on to it, hoping for recovery (and more) over the long term.
Still, sometimes changing facts change the investment case for a share – and I think that is true in the current economic circumstances.
For example, I am hanging on to a few easyJet shares. But I sold most of my holding, even though they trade below the agreed bid level in the ongoing takeover.
Why? I see a risk that a takeover could potentially be stalled in a worsening economic climate where high jet fuel prices are eating into airlines’ profitability.
So I decided to take some money off the table rather than hang on for months hoping that the agreed price ends up being delivered.
Step 2: keeping some powder dry
In fact, over the past few months I have been both buying and selling.
But I have had an eye on trying to keep a higher proportion of my portfolio than before in cash, ready to pounce if a stock market crash does throw up bargains.
In practice, that is not always easy!
I had sold some Trainline shares, but a sudden tumble caused by concerns from a regulatory inquiry into how prices are displayed meant that the share price was too attractive for me to ignore, and I filled my boots.
That inquiry is a risk, as are government plans for a state-owned ticketing platform.
But with its large customer base, technological head start and well-known brand, I felt Trainline’s recent share price was a screaming bargain for my portfolio.
Despite such temptations though, I am still keeping some powder dry!
Step 3: make a wishlist
I have also been making a shopping list of shares I would like to buy if a stock market crash makes them cheap enough.
One name on it is US toy retailer Build-a-Bear Workshop (NYSE: BBW).