CHONGQING, CHINA – JULY 31: In this photo illustration, a smartphone displays the logo of Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER), a global ride-hailing and mobility-as-a-service company, in front of a screen showing the company’s latest stock market chart on July 31, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)
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Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) is scheduled to announce its earnings on Wednesday, August 6, 2025. The firm’s current market capitalization stands at $184 Bil. Over the past twelve months, the revenue was $45 Bil, and it achieved operational profitability with $3.9 Bil in operating profits and a net income of $12 Bil. While much hinges on how the actual results compare to consensus expectations, being aware of historical trends may significantly enhance the prospects for event-driven traders.
There are two approaches to do this: you can either familiarize yourself with the historical odds and prepare before the earnings are announced, or analyze the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following the earnings release and adjust your strategy accordingly after the announcements. With that in mind, if you’re looking for better returns with reduced volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio serves as a viable alternative – it has outperformed the S&P 500 and produced returns surpassing 91% since its launch.
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Uber Technologies’ Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some insights concerning one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- Over the last five years, there have been 19 recorded earnings data points, showing 10 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns. In summary, positive 1D returns occurred approximately 53% of the time.
- It’s worth noting that this percentage rises to 58% when assessing data from the last 3 years instead of the last 5.
- The median of the 10 positive returns is 6.2%, while the median of the 9 negative returns is -5.7%
Additional information regarding the observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is detailed along with the statistics in the table below.
UBER 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return
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Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
A somewhat less risky strategy (though it may not be effective if the correlation is weak) is to grasp the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pairing with the strongest correlation, and implement the suitable trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D exhibit the highest correlation, a trader can take a “long” position for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data derived from both a 5-year and a more recent 3-year history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D encapsulates the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and the following 5D returns.
UBER Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
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Discover more about the Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), generating impressive returns for investors. In addition, if you seek growth with a more stable experience compared to an individual stock like Uber Technologies, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has exceeded the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its initiation.
