Stock Market

S&P 500, Nasdaq step higher as focus turns to Fed’s rate path


US stocks largely pushed higher on Tuesday to begin a holiday-shortened week of trading, with potential policy moves by the Federal Reserve and President Donald Trump in focus.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was down about 0.2% , while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) added more than 0.1%, to trade near an all-time high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose nearly 0.3%.

Stocks on Wall Street are cautiously upbeat after Monday’s closure for Presidents Day as investors debate the future path of interest rates. Fed officials over the long weekend signaled a firm belief that rates should stay at current levels to combat rising inflation.

Treasury yields stepped higher as investors sought more clues to the chances of rate cuts this year, given recent data failed to give a clear steer. The benchmark 10-year yield (^TNX) rose to trade around 4.52% to shed its lowest closing level in a week.

That uncertainty has turned the spotlight on Wednesday’s release of minutes from the Fed’s January meeting for more clues to policymakers’ thinking amid Trump’s tariffs.

At the same time, the US-Russia talks on ending the Ukraine war are gripping markets, after Trump and Putin’s teams met in Saudi Arabia on Monday. Stock markets in Europe (^STOXX) held near record highs as traders bet on higher defense spending in the region.

Earnings season continues, with results from 46 S&P 500 companies due this week. Baidu (BIDU, 9888.HK) reported a smaller-than-expected fall in revenue to ease concerns over AI rivalry, but its shares slipped in about 5% in early trading. The report kicks off this week’s results from China’s trillion-dollar tech industry, including from Alibaba (BABA) on Thursday.

Tuesday will see Devon Energy (DVN), Oxy (OXY), and Toll Brothers (TOL) all release quarterly reports, with Walmart (WMT) and Dropbox (DBX) announcing on Thursday, a big earnings day for investors.

LIVE 6 updates

  • Intel jumps as rivals explore deals to carve up the chipmaker

    Yahoo Finance’s Laura Bratton writes:

    Intel’s (INTC) stock jumped 9.6% early Tuesday, following a report that rivals Broadcom (AVGO) and TSMC (TSM) are exploring potential deals with the chipmaker that would split it into two.

    The Wall Street Journal reported late Saturday that Broadcom (AVGO) is considering making a bid for Intel’s product business, which designs semiconductors for computers and servers.

    The report, which cited people familiar with the matter, said that TSMC has looked at controlling some or all of Intel’s factories, potentially as part of an investor consortium.

    The companies have not submitted deals to Intel, and the talks are preliminary and informal, according to the report.

    Broadcom shares traded flattish Monday, while US-listed TSMC shares were up slightly less than 1%.

    Read more here.

  •  Josh Schafer

    Chip stocks, tech lead at the open

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up more than 0.1% on Tuesday amid a tech-led rally in stocks. Chip stocks were leading the charge with Nvidia (NVDA) shares up more than 3%, while Micron (MU) rose more than 5%, and Intel (INTC) popped nearly 8%.

    Super Micro Computer (SMCI), a popular play in the AI semiconductor space, was up almost 12%.

  • Fed speakers lay the ground for January minutes

    While traders took a Presidents’ Day break, Fed speakers lined up to reiterate they need to hold off on rate cuts in light of sticky inflation — though there was a glimmer of hope on offer.

    The chorus of comments is setting the stage for Wednesday’s release of minutes from the Fed’s January meeting, which will be closely watched by rate-betting investors.

    Patience is the keyword as policymakers wait for price pressures to ease, Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker said on Monday.

    Meanwhile, Michelle Bowman opposed any easing until a better picture emerges of Trump’s tariffs.

    “It will be very important to have a better sense of these policies, how they will be implemented, and establish greater confidence about how the economy will respond” before cutting rates further, the Fed governor said.

    Next up, Christopher Waller suggested that Trump’s tariffs will have just a modest impact on inflation. That means the Fed can try to set those aside when setting rates, the central bank governor argued.

    Waller also suggested that policymakers can resume cuts “at some point this year” if the current inflation bump fades, further striking a note of optimism.

    More Fedspeak is due on Tuesday from officials Mary Daly and Michael Barr.

  • Europe stocks hit pause as US and Russia start Ukraine talks

    Stocks in Europe held steady on Tuesday as the US and Russia started discussing an end to the war in Ukraine, after rallying on Monday amid a run-up in defense names.

    Presidents Trump and Putin have sent teams to the talks in Saudi Arabia, but Ukraine and Europe have been sidelined. Leaders in the region held an emergency summit in Paris instead, where they agreed to increase defense spending.

    The pan-European Stoxx 600 (^STOXX) index edged up around 0.1% as defense stocks Rheinmetall (RHM.DE) and Dassault (DSY.PA) rose to fresh all-time highs.

    Among individual benchmarks, Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris traded broadly flat. London’s FTSE 100 index (^FTSE) tipped roughly 0.2% higher.

  • Jenny McCall

    Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

  • Brian Sozzi

    BofA survey: Trade war is biggest risk to markets now

    We all like to delay pain and generally think bad outcomes won’t happen to us.

    But if you are an investor, it’s worth paying closer attention to what is happening on the Trump tariff front. We are already in a light trade war, and all signs point to it escalating. That stands to impact how stock valuations are viewed across the board.

    Bank of America’s latest fund manager survey this morning underscores the point.

    A global trade war is the number one biggest risk to markets, according to 42% of fund managers surveyed. That’s up from 30% in January.



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