17 Mins Ago
U.S. economy adds 199,000 jobs, unemployment rate falls
The U.S. economy added 199,000 in November. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a print of 190,000.
While the headline number was about in line with expectations, the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 3.7%. Economists had forecast the jobless rate to stay unchanged at 3.9%.
— Fred Imbert
50 Mins Ago
Market has ‘jumped the gun’ on rate cuts, Bank of America says
Don’t expect rate cuts so soon, according to Bank of America.
The Wall Street firm’s FX strategy team said in a Friday note that “once again the market has jumped the gun on rate cuts” and gotten ahead of itself with expectations for five rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and six from the European Central Bank.
“We would argue that the market has once again run ahead of itself,” Bank of America said. “Core inflation remains high and stickier than headline inflation. We see a risk of higher/stickier headline inflation early next year as the strong base effects from energy prices fade.”
While disinflation in the Eurozone at the current rate could support rate cuts beginning in March, but that outcome looks less likely for the Fed, wrote FX strategist Claudio Piron.
“In any case, given aggressive market pricing, we see the balance of risks for central banks doing less next year, particularly in a soft landing scenario,” he said.
— Samantha Subin
An Hour Ago
Carrier Global shares rise after news of Honeywell deal
Shares of Carrier Global were up more than 3% after the company agreed to sell its Global Access Solutions business — which makes locks for hotels, among other businesses — for $4.95 billion in cash to Honeywell.
Honeywell’s strong track record delivering building automation products and services makes this a natural fit that will create a leading security platform with forecasted annual revenue in excess of $1 billion,” Honeywell CEO Vimal Kapur said in a statement.
“By leveraging the capabilities of the combined company’s advanced security and safety systems, customers will be able to maximize their performance, efficiency and cost-effectiveness and create long-term, sustainable value,” Kapur added.
Honeywell shares dipped 0.6% in the premarket.
4 Hours Ago
Barclays Private Bank: U.S. payroll expectations ‘skewed to the downside’
The headquarters of Barclays Plc beyond the West India Quay Docklands Light Railway station in the Canary Wharf financial district in London, UK, on Monday, March 20, 2023.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Recent data suggests that the U.S. labor market is softening, and expectations ahead of Friday’s crucial nonfarm payrolls figure are “skewed to the downside,” according to Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist at Barclays Private Bank.
“A significant positive surprise would challenge the market’s consensus that interest rate cuts will materialise around the beginning of Q2 2024,” Lafargue said.
“On the other hand, a significant disappointment could force the market to reassess its soft landing scenario. A number broadly in line with expectations would, in our view, probably be the most supportive outcome for stocks.”
– Elliot Smith
5 Hours Ago
European stocks make a muted start
European markets were little changed at Friday’s open.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index hovered around the flatline in early trade, with mining stocks dropping 0.6% while oil and gas climbed 0.5%.
12 Hours Ago
Japan’s third-quarter GDP numbers revised downward in surprise move
Japan’s third-quarter gross domestic numbers have been revised downward in a move at odds with economists’ expectations.
The world’s third-largest economy shrank by 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, a steeper-than-expected decline compared with expectations of a 0.5% contraction as per the first estimate as well a Reuters poll.
On an annualized basis, GDP shrank by 2.9% in the third quarter, faster than the first estimate of 2.1% and economists’ expectations of 2%.
— Lim Hui Jie
8 Hours Ago
India’s central bank holds rates steady for fourth straight meeting
India’s central bank has held its key lending rate at 6.5%, the fourth straight time that it has left the repurchase rate unchanged.
Reuters reported that all six members of the RBI’s monetary policy committee unanimously voted to hold the repo rate.
This comes as inflation in the country has slowed for three straight months, coming in at a four-month low of 4.87% in October. Since May 2022, the RBI has raised the repo rate by a total of 250 basis points.
— Lim Hui Jie
13 Hours Ago
Japan real wages fall for 19th straight month in October
Real wages in Japan have fallen for a 19th straight month, sliding 2.3% year-on-year in October.
While the drop was softer than the revised 2.9% fall seen in September, the decline in real wages will be something that may prevent the Bank of Japan from moving away from negative interest rates.
The BOJ has said that sustainable pay increases are a key metric to consider before dismantling its ultra-loose monetary policy.
— Lim Hui Jie
13 Hours Ago
Individual investor pessimism surged in latest AAII survey after falling to almost 6-year low
The percentage of individual investors who are pessimistic over the six-month outlook for stocks jumped to 27.4% in the latest survey from the American Association of Individual Investors, and up from 19.6% last week — which had marked the fewest bears since January 2018.
Historically, bears average out at about 31% each week, and have now stood below average for five straight weeks.
The ranks of bullish investors dipped to 47.3% in the latest week, the first time they’d fallen in five weeks, and down from 48.8% last week — which had marked the greatest number of optimists only since last August. The historical average of bulls is 37.5%, and optimists have also now come in above average for five consecutive weeks, as well as six weeks in nine.
The AAII characterized the latest sentiment readings as returning “to their respective typical ranges.”
— Scott Schnipper
14 Hours Ago
The Nasdaq is on pace for a sixth winning week
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite is on its way to a sixth straight positive week, on pace for a 0.24% gain.
It may not seem like much of an increase, but if the Nasdaq manages to keep it, that will mark the index’s longest winning streak since its eight-week run which ended in June.
Names in the index that have had a good week thus far include Alphabet, which is up 3.8%, and Advanced Micro Devices, up 5.8% week to date.
Both stocks rallied sharply Thursday, with Alphabet advancing more than 5% after the company announced its Gemini AI model. AMD popped nearly 10% a day after the semiconductor company announced its newest AI chip – and Meta and Microsoft said they would use it.
The week is looking less upbeat for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, both of which are about to break a five-week winning streak.
–Darla Mercado, Chris Hayes
14 Hours Ago
November’s payrolls are due Friday. Here’s what traders will be watching
The Labor Department is slated to report November’s nonfarm payrolls report on Friday morning – and the numbers just might show an increase in hiring.
Economists polled by Dow Jones are expecting 190,000 positions were added last month, an increase from October’s 150,000.
But traders – and the Federal Reserve – will be looking beyond just the headline numbers. Key metrics, including wage growth and the unemployment rate, will be important indicators as to whether the economy has sufficiently cooled.
Read more about the upcoming jobs report here.
–Darla Mercado, Jeff Cox
14 Hours Ago
Stocks moving in extended trading Thursday night
A few names made notable moves after the market closed.
Lululemon Athletica dropped more than 2% after the athletic apparel retailer issued weak guidance for the holiday season. The company, known for its yoga pants, says it’s expecting sales to range between $3.14 billion and $3.17 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter. That’s short of the $3.18 billion anticipated by analysts, per Refinitiv.
RH, the home furnishings retailer, slid 9% in after-hours trading. The company gave a disappointing outlook on revenue, calling for $3.06 billion to $3.08 billion, compared to the Street’s estimates for $3.08 billion for the fiscal year.
–Darla Mercado, Tanaya Macheel
14 Hours Ago
Stock futures open near the flat line
U.S. stock futures hovered near the flat line on Thursday evening.
S&P 500 futures slipped by 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.09%. Dow futures lost 26 points or 0.07%.
–Darla Mercado