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Overview: While the US dollar is mostly a little softer today against the G10 currencies, it remains mostly within Wednesday's range. The yen is a notable exception. It made a new high for the week despite the contraction in Q1 25 GDP. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The markets have not reacted to a statement from President Trump that his administration lacks the capacity to negotiate with all the parties so in the next 2-3 weeks, the US will simply set the tariff rates.Asia Pacific equities ended the week...

Overview: There has been little follow-through dollar buying today after its recovery in North America yesterday. The greenback is softer against most of the G10 currencies. The Antipodeans are lagging alongside the Norwegian krone, perhaps weighed down by the sharp drop in oil prices following President Trump's indication and a deal with Iran may be near. Switzerland reported stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP, and the franc is the strongest of the G10 currencies followed by the Japanese yen. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The handful of exceptions in China, India, Thailand,...

Havens favoured as trade risks simmer This week's report dives into what looks set to influence the fair value of the major currencies – think the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Australian Dollar (AUD), Japanese Yen (JPY), Swiss Franc (CHF), Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), and US Dollar (USD) – over the coming seven days. We're setting this against the backdrop of the wider seven-week picture and, of course, how they've performed recently. We'll be looking at the usual suspects: what markets expect from central bank policy, the...