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Global strategists weigh in on US recession risks, Fed cuts, and market trends

Fears of a US recession may be exaggerated despite slowing growth, according to Steven Englander, Managing Director & Global Head of G10 FX Research & North American Macro Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank. While concerns persist over high interest rates and government spending, he believes economic data does not fully support a worst-case scenario.“We do think the economy is slowing, but nowhere near the pessimism that's being expressed,” Englander said.Falling energy prices and improving weather conditions could boost consumer spending in the coming months, potentially supporting growth. Englander expects the...
Currencies

Currencies Fluctuate Amid Trade Tension and Economic Slowdown Fears

The U.S. dollar faced a decline against the Japanese yen on Monday, driven by fears of an economic slowdown and ongoing uncertainty concerning the Trump administration's trade policies. Investors' mounting concerns were compounded by a notable selloff on Wall Street.While the greenback faltered against the yen, it showed resilience by strengthening against currencies like the euro, Swiss franc, and sterling, as traders took profits from recent currency gains. Meanwhile, Wall Street noted a steep decline, with a significant drop in the Nasdaq as tech sectors suffered.Interest rate movements were...
Currencies

Global Currencies in Flux: Dollar Declines Amid Trade Tensions

The U.S. dollar suffered losses against the Japanese yen and Swiss franc on Monday as market participants grappled with ongoing trade tensions instigated by tariffs. Concerns over a potential slow-down in the U.S. economy further exacerbated the currency's decline.In Europe, the euro retraced gains from the previous week, though maintaining a position near a four-month high. Anticipation is building around potential boosts in government expenditure, as EU finance ministers convene to discuss defense funding options in light of U.S. foreign aid uncertainties.Meanwhile, investors reduced their net long dollar positions,...
Currencies

Tether And Bitcoin Have A Loud, Routinely Ignored Dollar Problem

SYMBOL - 23 April 2024, Baden-Württemberg, Rottweil: The logos of the cryptocurrencies Bitcoin ... (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), the stablecoin Tether (USDT) and Binance Coin (BNB) can be seen on the trading platform CoinMarcetCap. (Image with longer exposure time). Photo: Silas Stein/dpa (Photo by Silas Stein/picture alliance via Getty Images)dpa/picture alliance via Getty Images Private, or “crypto” money will eventually replace government money. Bank on it. As written in The Money Confusion, profits from the trading of fiat currency chaos ($7 trillion per day worth of currency trading) ensure the eventual...
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