archiveMacroeconomics

Currencies

US to impose tariffs in 2-3 weeks as administration “lacks capacity” to negotiate with everyone

Overview: While the US dollar is mostly a little softer today against the G10 currencies, it remains mostly within Wednesday's range. The yen is a notable exception. It made a new high for the week despite the contraction in Q1 25 GDP. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The markets have not reacted to a statement from President Trump that his administration lacks the capacity to negotiate with all the parties so in the next 2-3 weeks, the US will simply set the tariff rates.Asia Pacific equities ended the week...
Currencies

USD/INR weakens as lower crude oil prices support Indian Rupee

Indian Rupee rebounds in Friday’s Asian session. Lower crude oil prices underpin the INR, but persistent interbank USD demand and foreign fund outflows might cap its upside. Traders await the US housing data and the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report.The Indian Rupee (INR) recovers some lost ground, snapping the three-day losing streak on Friday. A fall in crude oil prices amid reports that the US and Iran are getting closer to a deal on the country’s nuclear program provides some support to the INR. It’s worth noting that India...
Currencies

Asia and Europe did not share North America’s enthusiasm for the Dollar

Overview: There has been little follow-through dollar buying today after its recovery in North America yesterday. The greenback is softer against most of the G10 currencies. The Antipodeans are lagging alongside the Norwegian krone, perhaps weighed down by the sharp drop in oil prices following President Trump's indication and a deal with Iran may be near. Switzerland reported stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP, and the franc is the strongest of the G10 currencies followed by the Japanese yen. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The handful of exceptions in China, India, Thailand,...
Currencies

USD/INR softens on India-Pakistan ceasefire, eyes on Fedspeak

Indian Rupee edges higher in Wednesday’s early European session.Trade deals made between US and China, and cessation of military hostilities between India and Pakistan, support the INR. Traders brace for the Fedspeak later on Wednesday.The Indian Rupee (INR) gathers strength on Wednesday on the back of the US-China trade agreement and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan. Analysts said that any fresh developments on the geopolitical front are likely to significantly influence the INR’s trajectory in the near term. The renewed Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI) inflows into debt instruments and...
Currencies

USD/INR attracts some sellers on India-Pakistan ceasefire

Indian Rupee edges higher in Wednesday’s Asian session.Trade deals made between US and China, and cessation of military hostilities between India and Pakistan, support the INR. Traders brace for the Fedspeak later on Wednesday.The Indian Rupee (INR) gathers strength on Wednesday on the back of the US-China trade agreement and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan. Analysts said that any fresh developments on the geopolitical front are likely to significantly influence the INR’s trajectory in the near term. The renewed Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI) inflows into debt instruments and equities...
Currencies

USD/INR weakens as tensions between India and Pakistan ease

Indian Rupee edges higher in Wednesday’s Asian session.Trade deals made between US and China, and cessation of military hostilities between India and Pakistan, support the INR. Traders brace for the Fedspeak later on Wednesday.The Indian Rupee (INR) gathers strength on Wednesday on the back of the US-China trade agreement and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan. Analysts said that any fresh developments on the geopolitical front are likely to significantly influence the INR’s trajectory in the near term. The renewed Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI) inflows into debt instruments and equities...
Currencies

US Dollar at one-month high after US-China trade deal to lower tariffs 

The US Dollar jumps up over 1% against most major peers, after news of a deal between China and the US. Both countries agreed to slash tariffs for 90 days following two days of talks in Switzerland. The US Dollar Index pops to 101.65, benefiting from the relief in US-China tensions. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, exceeds a more than 1% rally on Monday after China and the United States (US) agreed to a 90-day pause in their trade war...
Currencies

US Dollar Index approaches 100 as Taiwan Dollar surge triggers spillover, Bessent words

The US Dollar Index edges to 99.60 as the Taiwan Dollar posts the biggest intraday jump in over 30 years.ISM Services PMI climbs to 51.6 in April, beating estimates and March’s 50.8 reading.Treasury Secretary Bessent says trade deals may be reached this week; deficit reduction targeted.Market activity remains thin with holidays in China and the United Kingdom.The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against a basket of currencies, posted mild gains on Monday as the Taiwan Dollar surged over 5%. The move sparked a...
Currencies

USD/INR softens on steady FII inflows, positive US-India trade talks

Indian Rupee strengthens in Tuesday’s Asian session.Optimism over US-India trade talks and steady foreign portfolio investment inflows into equities support the INR. Investors await the US April Consumer Confidence and March JOLTS Job Openings report, which are due later on Tuesday. The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its upside on Tuesday after logging its best day in more than two weeks in the previous session. The positive developments surrounding US-India trade talks provide some support to the local currency. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that many top trading partners of...
Currencies

USD/INR edges lower on weaker US Dollar, eyes on India-Pakistan tensions

Indian Rupee gains ground in Monday’s early European session. Rising foreign inflows and lower crude oil prices support the INR. Concerns over geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan might cap the Indian Rupee’s upside. The Indian Rupee (INR) gathers strength on Monday. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) continue to buy Indian equities for the seventh consecutive day. This, in turn, could boost the local currency against the Greenback in the near term. Furthermore, the decline in Crude oil prices contribute to the INR’s upside, as India is the third largest consumer of crude oil...
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