Currencies

Asian FX gains as dollar falls on U.S. midterm results, yuan weakens on PBOC move


Investing.com — Asian currencies mostly strengthened on Wednesday as the dollar retreated amid uncertainty over U.S. midterm election results, while the Chinese yuan remained weaker after Beijing moved to curb its recent rally.

Still guessing which stocks will beat the market? Our AI portfolio updates monthly and is outperforming the S&P 500 by 118%. See this month’s list »

The Australian dollar remained near a two-week low after the Reserve Bank raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, its fifth increase this year and the highest level in 18 years. A surprisingly divided 6-3 vote, with three policymakers favouring a hold, fuelled expectations that the tightening cycle may be nearing its end.

The U.S. dollar index fell 0.5% to 101.34. The South Korean won strengthened 0.5% to 1,337.98 per dollar, while the Singapore dollar gained 0.1% as the USD/SGD pair slipped to 1.2795.

The Australian dollar edged down 0.1% to $0.6964, while the New Zealand dollar rose slightly to $0.5598. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.7% to 157.64 per dollar. The euro gained 0.5% to $1.1251 and sterling rose 0.4% to $1.3470.

Dollar reverses monthly rally as election results and Iran tensions loom

The dollar spot index is trading close to its 2026 high reached last month. Rising Treasury yields, stronger economic data and a revival in AI-related stocks supported the dollar.

Recent factory data showed U.S. production expanding at its fastest pace since 2021, while job openings increased by 333,000 to 7.523 million, exceeding forecasts. Hot inflation data last month had also strengthened expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening.

Investors are also looking ahead to Friday’s October nonfarm payrolls report, which DBS expects to show an increase of 100,000 jobs, up from 29,000 in September.

However, the dollar’s advance faded on Wednesday as election results began to emerge. Democrat Jon Ossoff won re-election in Georgia, while Roy Cooper flipped a Republican-held Senate seat in North Carolina.

Unsure what to buy ahead of earnings? Our AI’s recent pre-earnings calls delivered gains of +77% to +118% after results dropped. See this month’s earnings picks »

Control of Congress remained uncertain as counting continued. The 10-year Treasury yield fell four basis points to 4.919%, while the dollar index slipped 0.2% to 101.7 in earlier trading.

Meanwhile, Brent crude was around $103.85 a barrel after falling about 1% on Tuesday to a near four-week low. Markets are weighing diplomatic efforts to end the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine against the risk that further attacks disrupt supplies.

Reports that Trump wanted to allow negotiations with Tehran to continue had helped pressure the dollar alongside oil, although the possibility of renewed U.S. strikes could revive safe-haven demand.

Yuan ends longest rally since 1996 as regional currency milestones emerge

The yuan remained under pressure after the People’s Bank of China raised the foreign-exchange reserve requirement for financial institutions by two percentage points, from 4% to 6%, effective November 15.

The move requires banks to hold more foreign currency, reducing the dollars available for sale and easing pressure for further yuan appreciation.

The offshore USD/CNH pair rose 0.2% to 6.6797, while USD/CNY also gained 0.2% to 6.6799.

The onshore yuan had weakened as much as 0.4% to 6.6766 on Tuesday, ending 13 consecutive sessions of gains – its longest winning streak since 1996 – while the offshore currency recorded its biggest one-day drop since May 15.

The yuan has nevertheless gained more than 4% against the dollar this year, outperforming many regional peers on strong exports, corporate dollar conversions and Beijing’s tolerance for appreciation.

Elsewhere, the won’s latest gains follow a 13% rise against the dollar in the third quarter, its strongest quarterly advance since late 1998, supported by AI-driven chip demand. South Korea’s October exports jumped 93.7% year-on-year, with semiconductor shipments up 259.4%.

The remaining regional calendar includes Thursday’s Bank Negara Malaysia decision, where DBS expects rates to remain at 2.75%, and October inflation data from Taiwan, Thailand and the Philippines, forecast at 2.3%, 3.2% and 7.9%, respectively.

Original Article

Asian FX gains as dollar falls on U.S. midterm results, yuan weakens on PBOC move

Dollar ticks up with eyes on U.S. midterm elections; Aussie slips despite RBA hike

Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding



Source link

Leave a Response