Quick Read
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Walmart’s consensus price target implies just 3% upside, and the lone Sell rating rests on valuation: a trailing P/E of 45 for a defensive retailer.
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Walmart beat earnings estimates for a fourth straight quarter as advertising rose 38% and eCommerce grew 23%, and management raised full-year guidance.
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Institutional money shows less conviction than the ratings: four of 12 tracked filers added shares, while three trimmed and one exited.
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Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish on Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT): only one of 43 analysts surveyed rates it a Sell. Yet the consensus price target of $129.38 implies just 2.7% upside from a $126.02 quote on November 12, 2026.
Why would anyone rate a defensive retailer with a beta of 0.526 a Sell? Valuation. Walmart trades at a trailing P/E of 45 and a forward P/E of 38. (Check out similar analyses in Only One Analyst Rates Nvidia a Sell. Is the Lone Bear Onto Something? and Not One Analyst Rates Microsoft a Sell. Is the Consensus View Right?)
What Bulls Are Paying For
Bulls are paying for execution. Second-quarter fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.81 topped the $0.7413 consensus, the fourth consecutive beat. Revenue of $187.937 billion exceeded the $186.82 billion estimate, and management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $2.80 to $2.87 from $2.75 to $2.85. Global eCommerce grew 23%, advertising rose 38%, and membership fee revenue climbed 17%.
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The stock gained 12.9% over the past month and 21.5% over the past year. Jim Cramer told Mad Money viewers on October 14, 2026, “Walmart is the winner in this environment.” During an October 27, 2026, CNBC Fast Money segment, Guy Adami framed Walmart’s move to the Nasdaq as a signal that companies want to be valued as technology companies rather than by traditional metrics.
