Currencies

Asian currencies mixed as yen rebounds, dollar stays near two-month high


Investing.com — Asian currencies were mixed on Wednesday, while the Japanese yen strengthened after a two-day slide and the U.S. dollar remained near a two-month high ahead of key U.S. inflation and labor-market data.

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The yen was also supported by renewed Japanese warnings over currency weakness and quarter-end flows, while the Australian dollar fell below $0.70 after fresh inflation data came in slightly below forecasts.

The U.S. dollar index was around 101.42. The USD/JPY pair fell 0.3% to 156.91, after the yen strengthened as much as 0.6% to 156.38 in early Asian trading.

The greenback is heading for its best month since June after the Federal Reserve’s renewed focus on containing inflation pushed U.S. rate expectations and Treasury yields higher. The dollar has risen about 2% against the yen this month and nearly 3.8% in the third quarter.

Yen rebounds as intervention risks, Japan data support currency

The yen’s latest gains made it the best-performing Group-of-10 currency on Wednesday, after Japanese officials stepped up warnings over excessive depreciation.

Japan’s top currency official Atsushi Mimura told Reuters Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, together with the U.S., had sent a clear warning about yen weakness.

Weaker-than-expected August retail sales and an unexpected drop in industrial output could temper bets on faster BOJ tightening, although yen intervention risks remain a key support for the currency.

The BOJ’s July meeting minutes also showed policymakers believed underlying inflation was approaching the 2% target and that continued rate increases were appropriate while financial conditions remained accommodative.

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Aussie falls below $0.70 after inflation data

The AUD/USD pair fell 0.3% to $0.69, taking the Australian dollar below $0.70 for the first time since early August and to a nine-week low of $0.69.

Australia’s August inflation reading slightly undershot forecasts, weighing on the Australian dollar as it tempered expectations for another near-term RBA hike, even though annual and underlying inflation remained well above target.

The data came a day after the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, its highest level since 2011, while warning that inflation risks were materializing and that further tightening remained possible.

The Australian dollar’s decline despite the RBA hike reflects how much of the tightening was already priced into the currency. Renewed expectations for Fed hikes, elevated U.S. Treasury yields and broader risk aversion have also reduced the benefit of Australia’s higher rates.

Dollar, yuan focus on U.S. data and China PMI

The Fed’s preferred core PCE inflation measure is due later on Wednesday, while Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report remains the bigger near-term test for the dollar and rate expectations.

New York Fed President John Williams said there was “no need for urgency” on another rate increase, knocking expectations for an October hike down to about 50% from 71% previously.

The Chinese yuan was broadly steady. China reported on Wednesday that its official manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1 in September from 49.8, returning to expansion, while the non-manufacturing PMI improved to 50.2.

The yuan is heading for its seventh consecutive quarterly gain against the dollar before China’s Oct. 1-7 National Day holidays.

China, meanwhile, warned of a “resolute response” to potential EU trade restrictions, calling them protectionist and threatening possible probes into Chinese companies and supply chains.

Elsewhere, the USD/KRW pair rose 0.30% to 1,355.69, USD/INR pair rose 0.05% to 96.138, USD/SGD gained 0.02% to 1.2779, and the New Zealand dollar fell 0.12% to $0.5643.

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Original Article

Asian currencies mixed as yen rebounds, dollar stays near two-month high

Dollar firms, Aussie drops after RBA hike, and sterling slips on Burnham speech

Wells Fargo revises dollar, yen, euro estimates amid rate hike outlook



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